Trump leads Biden in 2 key battleground states that had razor-thin margins in 2020: polls


Former President Donald Trump is main President Biden in Georgia and North Carolina, two battleground states that had been received by slim margins 4 years in the past.

The presumptive Republican nominee leads Biden 51% to 47% amongst registered voters in Georgia, and 51% to 48% amongst registered voters in North Carolina, in response to two Marist Polls launched Wednesday — with Trump, 77, having fun with larger assist amongst black voters and younger voters in each states than he acquired in 2020.

Final time round, Biden received Georgia by 0.23%, whereas Trump received North Carolina by 1.34%.

The Marist polls are the newest in a sequence of surveys that present Biden, 81, lagging persistently behind Trump in other battleground states like Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin.

Based on the surveys, 20% of self-identified black voters in North Carolina would vote for Trump if the election had been held immediately, whereas 24% of black voters in Georgia would pull the lever for the Republican.

In 2020, exit polls confirmed Trump receiving 7% of the black vote in North Carolina and 11% of the demographic in Georgia.

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on his financial plan throughout a go to to Abbotts Creek Group Middle in Raleigh, North Carolina, U.S., January 18, 2024. REUTERS

Biden additionally leads Trump by simply 50% to 49% amongst registered voters underneath 30 in North Carolina, whereas the forty fifth president leads the identical demographic in Georgia 51% to 46%.

In 2020, Biden received younger Georgia voters by 13 share factors, whereas Trump acquired simply 40% assist amongst younger North Carolina voters 4 years in the past.

Amongst independents, Trump leads Biden 52% to 46% in North Carolina, whereas trailing Biden 49% to 48% in Georgia.

Regardless of Trump’s lead in each states, a most voters have unfavorable views of each main get together contenders.

In North Carolina, 55% of registered voters have an unfavorable opinion of Biden and 50% have an unfavorable opinion of Trump.

In Georgia, 53% of registered voters view the president unfavorably, whereas 49% say the identical of Trump.

“North Carolina has been a battleground state for a number of presidential election cycles and stays so in 2024,” says Lee M. Miringoff, Director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. “Each Biden and Trump have secured their base. The story of the tape might be who instructions impartial voters and voters who dislike each presidential candidates.”

Of Georgia, Miringoff famous the Peach State “has been ground zero for Trump’s legal problems dating back to the 2020 election.

“Though the overwhelming majority of Democrats and a plurality of independents suppose Trump broke the regulation, solely a handful of Republicans suppose so,” Miringoff added. “Regardless of all the eye targeted on the state’s vote depend in 2020, greater than six in ten Georgia voters throughout get together strains stay assured within the integrity of state and native elections.”

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks to supporters in Greensboro, North Carolina on March 2, 2024. Megan Smith / USA TODAY NETWORK

Unbiased presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. additionally has double-digit assist in each states, regardless of not but being on the poll in both.

In North Carolina, RFK Jr. will get 11% of the vote when included with Biden and Trump, and in Georgia, he will get 14%.

In each states, Trump nonetheless leads a three-way struggle with Biden and the environmental lawyer and vaccine skeptic.

The Marist Polls of North Carolina and Georgia had been performed between March 11-March 14 through dwell interviewers, by textual content, or on-line. The North Carolina ballot has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.6 share factors and the Georgia ballot has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.7 share factors.


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